Answer every
question and fill all the details before moving to Annual Report Analysis and
Discounted Cash Flow-based Intrinsic Value calculation
About the Company:
STAGE-1
Question
|
Rational behind
the question
|
Answer
|
Judgment based
on Answer
|
What does the company do?
|
To get
a basic understanding of the business
|
||
Who are its promoters? What are their backgrounds?
|
To know
the people behind the business. Sanity check to eliminate criminal background, intense political affiliation, etc.
|
||
What do they manufacture (in case it is a
manufacturing company)?
|
To know
their products better, helps us get a sense of the product’s demand supply
dynamics
|
||
How many plants do they have and where are they
located?
|
To get
a sense of their geographic presence. Also at times, their plants could be
located in a prime location, and the value of such location could go off-balance sheet, making the company highly undervalued
|
||
Are they running the plant in full capacity?
|
Gives
us an idea on their operational abilities, demand for their products, and
their positioning for future demand
|
||
What kind of raw material is required?
|
Helps
us understand the dependency of the company. For example, the raw material
could be regulated by Govt (like Coal) or the raw material needs to be
imported either of which needs further investigation
|
||
Who are the company’s clients or end-users?
|
By
knowing the client base we can get a sense of the sales cycle and efforts
required to sell the company’s products
|
||
Who are their competitors?
|
Helps
in knowing the competitors. Too many competing companies mean margin pressure. In such a case the company has to do something innovative. Margins
are higher if the company operates in – monopoly, duopoly, or oligopoly
market structure
|
||
Who are the major shareholders of the company?
|
Besides
the promoter and promoter group, it helps to know who else owns the shares of the company. If a highly successful investor holds the shares in the company
then it could be a good sign
|
||
Do they plan to launch any new products?
|
Gives a
sense of how ambitious and innovative the company is. While at the same time a company launching products outside their domain raises some red flags – is the company losing focus?
|
||
Do they plan to expand to different countries?
|
Same
rationale as above
|
||
What is the revenue mix? Which product sells the
most?
|
Helps
us understand which segment (and therefore the product) is contributing the most to revenue. This in turns helps us understand the drivers for future
revenue growth
|
||
Do they operate under a heavy regulatory
environment?
|
This is
both good and bad – Good because it acts a natural barrier from new
competition to enter the market, bad because they are limited with choices
when it comes to being innovative in the industry
|
||
Who are their bankers, auditors?
|
Good to
know, and to rule out the possibility of the companies associated with
scandalous agencies
|
||
How many employees do they have? Does the company
have labor issues?
|
Gives
us a sense of how labor-intensive the company’s operations are. Also, if the
company requires a lot of people with a niche skillset then this could be
another red flag
|
||
What are the entry barriers for new participants to
enter the industry?
|
Helps
us understand how easy or difficult it is for new companies to enter the
market and eat away the margins
|
||
Is the company manufacturing products that can be
easily replicated in a country with cheap labor?
|
If yes,
the company may be sitting on a time bomb – think about companies
manufacturing computer hardware, mobile handsets, garments, etc.
|
||
Does the company have too many subsidiaries?
|
If yes,
you need to question why? Is it a way for the company to siphon off funds?
|
Basic Checklist
Variable
|
Comment
|
Significance
|
Answer
|
Judgment based
on Answer
|
Gross Profit Margin (GPM)
|
>
20%
|
Higher
the margin, higher is the evidence of a sustainable moat
|
||
Revenue Growth
|
Inline
with the gross profit growth
|
Revenue
growth should be in line with the profit growth
|
||
EPS
|
EPS
should be consistent with the Net Profits
|
If a
company is diluting its equity then it is not good for its shareholders
|
||
Debt
Level
|
Company
should not be highly
leveraged
|
High
debt means the company is operating on high leverage. Plus the finance cost
eats away the earnings
|
||
Inventory
|
Applicable
for manufacturing companies
|
A
growing inventory along with a growing PAT margin is a good sign. Always
check the inventory number of days
|
||
Sales vs Receivables
|
Sales
backed by receivables is not a great sign
|
This
signifies that the company is just pushing its products to show revenue
growth
|
||
Cash flow
from operations
|
Has to
be positive
|
If the
company is not generating cash from operations then it indicates operating
stress
|
||
Return on Equity
|
>25%
|
Higher
the ROE, better it is for the investor, however, make sure you check the debt
levels along with this
|
||
Business Diversity
|
1 or 2
simple business lines
|
Avoid
companies that have multiple business interests. Stick to companies that
operate in 1 or 2 segments
|
||
Subsidiary
|
Not
many
|
If
there are too many subsidiaries then it could be a sign of the company siphoning off money. Be cautious while investing in such companies.
|
Ratios Analysis
Ratios
|
Value
|
Interpretation/Judgement
|
Any other
comment/observation
|
Quick ratio
|
|||
Current ratio
|
|||
P/E Ratio
|
|||
ROCE (%)
|
|||
Return on Assets(%)
|
|||
ROE (%)
|
|||
Dividend Yield (%)
|
|||
Debt to Equity
|
|||
Interest Coverage Ratio
|
|||
Price to Book Value Ratio
|
|||
Price to Sales
|
|||
Disclaimer: I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor. All my blog posts are written for educational purposes only and do not constitute specific financial, trading, or investment advice. The blog is intended to provide educational information only and does not attempt to give you advice that relates to your specific circumstances. You should discuss your specific requirements and situation with a qualified financial adviser.
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